Hi all!
In Sweden we are urgently waiting for the Thrush Nightingales to arrive. In southern Sweden, so far, only few have arrived. At my local patch on the island of Oland, SE Sweden, where I normally at this time of year hear at least 4-5 singing males constantly, I have not heard one single singing male yet.
In Sweden we have a national database of birds and during the first three weeks of May only 72 Thrush Nightingales were reported, compared with 788 last year. You don´t have to have studied mathematics to realize that there is a reduction in 90% since 2010
I have contacted many other birders throughout Sweden and they all confirm this pattern. Red-backed Shrikes are also lacking in numbers, but they usually start arriving these days anyway.
At the other end of the scale Common Whitethroats are more common than usual, as well as Redstarts. As a matter of fact Common Snipes are also more common.
This all leads up to quite a few questions.
Has something occurred in the wintering grounds in eastern Africa? Has there been a serious drought?
It could be that they are delayed by inclement weather, strong headwinds or whatever? But it is usually very important for migrant songbirds to arrive at their breeding sites as early as possible in order to breed successfully, so being almost three weeks late must be a very serious matter.
Thus far we are very surprised and frustrated and we wonder a lot. That bird populations vary is normal, but a reduction in 90% in one year is ridiculous.
Does anyone of you living in Africa or elsewhere have any idea why our beloved summer guests haven´t arrived this year in their usual numbers?
Yours friendly
Anders Waldenstrom, Oland SE Sweden